The resource curse:

                                                                                                  The resource curse

By D.A Parker

Is an abundance of natural resources   an  impediment to Development?

Introduction
This paper argues that resources are not in themselves an impediment to development but over reliance on them and bad management is. There is an on-going debate amongst academics and political figures about the actual cause of the’ resource curse’. Using Botswana as an example of success contrasted against those that have fared less well it can be shown that for many people, even in the most successful resource dependent economies that have shown unparalleled development and economic growth, abundant resources can still be an unavoidable curse.
The resource poverty conflict Trap
An abundance of resources should be a blessing to a developing country however, for much of the developing world they have proved to be more of a curse than a blessing, doing more harm than good. Many parts of Africa and Asia find themselves in constant cycles of under-development, poverty and conflict (Collier, 2007).

The abundance of natural resources has been an aggravating factor against lasting peace and stability. Constant conflicts occur across the undeveloped world. Political and quasi-political forces struggle to control both extraction and supply or natural resources to finance their struggle against oppositional forces. Volatile situations arise which often involve several warring factions within a single region all fighting for autonomy over resources. Resources finance their struggles for identity, sovereignty, or political power over the whole country or specific region. Increasingly contemporary conflicts are over religious ideology. It is the natural resources that are financing these conflicts and it is the rest of the world mainly the west and increasingly China, that are buying them (Velleng, F, 2006: et al). A group that controls the resource’s and has ability to sell or trade them for arms can gain the upper hand with the obvious effect of prolonging the conflicts.

Contemporary conflicts are no longer a simple struggle between two opposing forces culminating with a single victor. Modern day conflicts involve many sides with varying ideals and philosophies often with more than just sovereignty at stake. An abundant resource adds yet another layer of complexity to theses struggles. After the fighting is over in many in cases the warring factions have to go on living side by side long after the violence subsides. To obtain any lasting peace involves a long process of negotiations, reconciliation and development. Sudden discoveries of resources have the tendency of negating efforts of reconciliation by attracting opportunist and rekindling old conflicts.

Africa is a rich and diverse continent with an abundance of natural recourse buried beneath the ground, yet it is also the poorest continent and the most violent, conflicts and tyranny reigns from the north to south. Amongst all the turmoil there are glimmers of hope, countries like Botswana for example doing considerable well out there natural resources presumably escaping the resource curse? At least that is the image that the country likes to portray to the rest of the world. However, the truth is far from that of the corporate image they portray. For the San Bushman diamonds are as big a curse as in the Congo or Liberia. For the Bushman there is as much blood on Botswana diamonds as anywhere else where resource conflicts exists, despite how much wealth the rest of the country may accumulates or spend(Good, 2005).So can Botswana truly be considering a success story or do we just forget about the Bushman and say it is?

So why do so many resources rich countries fail whilst others do apparently well. One argument blames “Dutch disease” (Ross, 1999: p8-10: Collier, 2007 : p40-42: et al). Dutch disease happens when a government fails to invest in other areas of the economy and rely too heavily on the resource. This has the effect of making other areas of the economy too costly and unprofitable. Dependency theory such as Raul Prebisch (1950) & Singer (1950) et al, (cited:Frankel, 2010: p5), suggest that over reliance on a single commodity or on natural resources means that the economy is open to market fads and fluctuations in the market mechanism. Meaning that when the international commodity prices fall the economy with too great a reliance on a single resource will fail. This as Collier (2007) suggest is part of the boom and bust cycle that many underdeveloped countries face creating cycles of peace, prosperity, poverty, and war.

Another problem suggests Collier (2007), is when a poor country suddenly discovers an abundance of resource, it is only natural that they borrow heavily and to invest in its extraction. This sudden growth in Government coffers can be another trap. For many, as in the Congo and Liberia for example, it can be seen by political opposition groups as a honeypot and an opportunity, this can lead to conflict before extraction of resource even starts.
As Kolstad and Rosser (2009) argue that it is the type and availability of the resource. The easier it is to extract the more open it is to exploitation. Comparing the Congo’s surface diamonds to Botswana deep diamonds is possible evidence for this argument. This is considered as rents the higher the cost of extraction the less likely rebel groups will invest in its extraction. Rebel groups are opportunist when it comes to gaining wealth to finance their wars; consequently they are less likely to invest in extraction technologies. Likewise oil that is onshore is harder [but not impossible], to exploit than oil found inland (Kolstad and Wiig, 2009). “The key idea in this class of explanation is that easy money corrupts”… (Sandbu, 2006: p1155). The Nigerian scenario is case in point, where whole regions are be plundered and exploited by both the corrupt government, privateers and gangs alike, with little returns going back into the state coffers, or used for further development. This along with chronic poverty and immense corruption and violence in most other areas of business leaves Nigeria and especially Lagos the capital amongst the top most dangerous places in the world to live in (Meredith, 2005).

Mineral- rich Government’s enjoying high revenues from resource exports “generally spend unusually large sums on their military forces” (Ross 2003:p25: cited: Good, 2005: p 7). This is no different of peaceful countries either. In Botswana for example, military spending increased significantly in Botswana during 1990s, rising from “P214 million (Pula) in 1992 to P625 million in 1995, representing slightly less than 5 per cent of GDP” (op. cit.). This

amount is not only higher than in any of its neighbouring countries, but is also “bigger than the United States” (ibid). Botswana is considered a peaceful country that has never been to war, perhaps it is paranoia having strong neighbour’s on one side like South Africa and weaker unstable neighbours like Zimbabwe on the other side, that makes them want to spend so much on military. As s(Rosser, (2006 ) suggest ‘resource abundance, authoritarianisms, despotism, military expenditure and civil war go hand in hand although this has yet to be fully proven it appears likely. As (Sandbu, (2006) ) suggest that by using economic measures that properly reflects the countries reliance on natural resources, rather than using absolute measure such as gross domestic product (GDP) or other percentile growth figures, there is ‘clear evidence of a resource curse’ “It manifests itself not only in slower economic growth, but also in higher risk of violent conflict” (Collier & Hoeffler, 1998: Fearon & Laitin, 2003 cited Sandbu, 2006: p1154).

So it would appear that even successful resource rich countries have blood on their hands in one way or another. Non- have completely escaped from the curse of buried wealth, not even the countries that have succeed in developing their economies and remained apparently peaceful like Botswana. The exploitation and inhumane treatment of indigenous communities by forced resettlement and pollution of their lands in order to get at and extract resource is not restricted to Botswana. In fact in most resource rich regions of the world similar treatment to that of the Bushman can be found. In Mexico, Brazil, Ecuador for example and many other parts of South America, Africa and China, blatant abuse of human rights in order to extract resources can be found. The new battle field is the Artic and the extraction of ‘oil tar sands’

concomitantly with the destruction of the environment and the miss treatment of the Inuit people and destruction of their culture; the whole of the region is under threat. The fact is that even for the most successful economies wherever there are resources, there will be found Human exploitation, environmental devastation or even war, no one place escapes these facts.
Some success
If we put aside the Bushman for one moment and consider Botswana as the success story that it is in economic and development terms, we find several factor that have boosted its development. Botswana government has made sound reinvestment into infrastructure and education some 80% of Botswana population are literate. The government has also invested heavily in roads power and water supplying remote villages and farming communities with much needed bore holes for water. They have built hospitals that supply affordable health care for all ‘Batswana ’. They have a second to none, in Africa, telecommunications network and postal service. The government encouraged diversification into other industry although they have still a long way to go. Botswana remains an exemplar for the rest of Africa on how to manage resources properly through good governance and sound partnerships.
Botswana created sensible partnership with international partners such as DeBeers rather than selling the rights and relying on taxation and ‘rents’ for wealth creation. This also involved training and education in appropriate technologies thus creating a valuable skills base for their budding industries, they are now cutting approximately 40-50% of all diamonds

they export. As Kolstad (2009), argues that it’s the ‘rents’(costs), that cause the problems attracting opportunist where low rents apply, due ease of extraction and access promising get rich quick opportunities to fuel wars and conflict. Whilst rents become a stabilising factor when they are high and where high tech extraction methods are required.
Having good neighbours goes a long way to help with developmental success. However for Botswana this had a twofold effect. When Botswana attempted to create an automotive assembly industry in partnership with Hyundai it failed because of South Africa that ironically became the impediment to Botswana industrialisation program not the reliance on resource (Good, 2005). South Africa implemented tariffs restricting shipping and importation on vehicles and goods assembled in Botswana. They attached duties and point of sale on imported goods that are also made in South Africa, thus protecting South Africa’s own automotive manufacturing industries. Success full neighbours can have twofold effects of being both good for exporting raw materials but bad for creating a manufacturing industry, because of increased competition and unfair goods transfer practise, this can hinder the development of a local manufacturing base and increasing the reliance on natural resources(op. cit.).
Being a landlocked country Botswana seemingly negates the landlocked argument held by many. More importantly it is having good relations with neighbours that allow unrestricted access to ports and transportation system goes a long way towards lifting the resource curse, as in the Botswana, South African relations. Although this is not an altogether complete reason for their success and has had some negative effects it has certainly helped their rapid

growth (Good, 2005). Despite there being a “broad agreement that the resource curse operates through causal mechanisms that are political in nature” (Ross,1999:p 558), as yet there is no common consensus about which of the particular “political mechanisms are [the] most important” (op. cit.).
Conclusion
This paper has highlighted some of problems caused by natural resources abundance. Countries that have resource abundance without strong state apparatus often end up in conflict. Resources can add another layer of complexity to already unstable political situations.
Botswana success is down to good governance with sound partnerships and a strong reinvestment policy into infrastructure health and education. Botswana is now one the leading economise in Africa despite being a resource dependent economy. However it is not without its victims in this case it is the San-Bushman.
Over reliance on resources can leave the economy susceptible to market fluctuations and presents a high risk familiar, this often leads to conflict. Most rebels are opportunist the easier the resource is to extract more chance there is of rebels exploiting it for their own needs.
Having resources abundance without a strong state leadership and good governance can lead to the exploitation of people and the detraction of the environment. This is perpetuated still further by the richer countries who insist on paying the cheapest possible prices for reassures without concern for the environmental or human cost involved.

Bibliography
Bannon, I. and Collier, P (2003) Natural Resources and Violent Conflict, Washington,
DC, The World Bank
Collier, P., Goderis, B, (2007) Commodity prices, growth, and the natural resource curse: Reconciling a conundrum, Paper 274, The Centre for the Study of African Economies Working Paper Series, Oxford University.
Collier, Paul (2007) The Bottom Billion : Why the poorest countries are failing and what can be done about it, Oxford, Oxford University Press.

Frankel, Jeffrey A. (2010) The natural resource curse: A survey. SSRN eLibrary.

Good, Kenneth (2005) Resource dependency and its consequences: The costs of botswana’s shining gems. Journal of Contemporary African Studies, 23, 27-50.

Kolstad, Ivar & Wiig, Arne (2009) It’s the rents, stupid! The political economy of the resource curse. Energy Policy, 37, 5317-5325.

Meredith, Martin (2005) The state of africa : A history of fifty years of independence, London, Free.
Prebisch, Raul,(1950), The Economic Development of Latin America and Its Principal Problems (New York).
Ross, Michael L. (1999) Review: The political economy of the resource curse. World Politics, 51, 297-322.

Rosser, Andrew ((2006) ) The political economy of the resource curse: A literature survey,. Brighton: Institute of Development Studies,, IDS Working Paper Number 268.
Sandbu, Martin E ( (2006) ’, ) ‘Natural wealth accounts: A proposal for alleviating the natural resource curse. World Development,, 34 (7) 1153-1170., 1153-1170.

Singer, Hans W, (1950) “US Foreign Investment in Underdeveloped Areas: The Distribution of Gains between Investing and Borrowing Countries,” American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 40, May: 473-485.

Velleng, Frank (2006) Africa: War is business, film festival Netherlands available on line from http://www.cultureunplugged.com/play/4316/Africa–War-is-Business, accessed 12/05/2011

Does institutional variety matter ?

By D. A. Parker

Introduction
Does institutional variety matter in the contemporary global political economy (GPE)? This paper explores the Neo-institutionalists claim that they do by starting with an explanation of what institutions are and how they are formed, then leading onto a summary of what function neo- institutionalists think institutions perform.
Why are there so many institutions, discussed under this heading, shows that varieties of institutions in the GPE are an inevitable consequence of the heterogeneous nature of the societies in the world; and for this reason we get variety? This concept is further discussed under the heading of, “why varieties matter: the responsibility of the state as an institution” is used as point of reference to study the neo-institutionalists claim in which the role and responsibly of the state as representatives of society in the global market is explored.
In conclusion the claims of the neo-intuitionalists that variety matters is verified as the positive and correct assumption, however, the roles and ever increasing responsibility of new institutions is discussed and highlighted.
What are institutions?
Institutions can start in the family home; they begin with simple rules that over a life time build in to the more complex structure of the family’s life. The institutional rules of the family, however uniquely apparent to the individual family, are nether the less, products of the social norms that are presented by the historical placement of the family in that time. These rules are then taken back out of the home and into the work place, and into deeper society by and adding to or taking from the cultural norms of the time.
We live in a hierarchical world, that is being constantly recreated through human action; institutions cannot be separated from this. Human action creates institutions; concomitantly, institutions also governs action and  form naturally in all societies primitive or otherwise.

The more complex a society the more complex are the institutions needed to govern and operate the society. Thus the actions of the individual are held to account only through the power of institutions, this can work for or against an individual depended on which side of the institution (law) he finds himself. In the same way this can be reversed and institutions can find that it (the institution) is being held to account for its actions against or for a particular grievance towards an individual or a group of individuals. This conception is carried forward on national and international level through society, governments and other state institutions, and more recently through transnational corporations. Human Rights, law, order, contract, ownership, private, commercial and mercantile laws are maintained and upheld through the power invested in institutions, this being one of the basic principle of conception for neo-institutionalism. Institutions become facilitators serving the needs of society through group actions and decisions that lead to regulation.
There are three main varieties of neo-institutionalism that came out of the 1960s and 1970s in response to the Behavioural models that were on offer at the time, they are; historical institutionalists who tend to conceptualise the relationships between institutions and individual behaviour, they also emphasize asymmetric power relations within the operation and development of institutions (Hall and Thelen, 2009b). Rational choice institutionalism that assumes all actors to be rational utility maximises therefore they will make the most economically rational choice thus translating to predictable patterns of behavior that institutions can capture and plan for; and finally the sociological institutionalists who argue that institutions should be seen as ‘culturally-specific practices’ (Hall and Taylor, 1996: p 16) that are created out of cultural necessity.
Why so many institutions?
Institutions are created from habits and rules, through leadership, from the family and in society or from the state, they are differentiated through traditions and cultures working habits as well as other forms, on global scale by interrelations of businesses and consumers and states, by actions of actors in the GPE. Douglas North (1999) argues that the importance of domestic political institutions as determinants of economic growth. For North, institutions comprise both sets of formal rules, like constitutions, and informal norms of behaviour. For Michael Aglietta it is the process of mediation that is important. Doulas North also argues that in an increasingly specialised world with compartmentalized production and increasing divisions of labour, institutions are necessary to mediate the complex relationships involved in this process and to ‘reduce uncertainties’ (North, 1999: p 49) in the market.
The model of individual behaviour espoused by neo-liberals is too narrow according to Chang. The neo-liberal model assumes a sort of selfish utility maximization whilst he argues that other motivations drive individuals within institutions and thus shape the way institutions affect socio-economic structures. ‘Contrary to the neo-liberal assumption, self-seeking is not the only human motivation even in the ‘private’ domain of the market, and that people do not operate with the same degree of selfishness in the public domain as in the private domain’ (Chang, 2002: p 549).
The neo-liberal approach could be viewed as the opposition to institutionalism with its emphasis on the individual. However even in neo-liberalism institutions still matter in political economy but there affects are seen as negative because the neo-liberals focus on state institutions distorting the free market. Chang challenges neo-liberalism on the grounds that individuals have many differing motives and that the attack on institutions of state is misplaced, ‘Once this assumption of pure self-seeking is dropped, the anti-statist conclusions of neo-liberalism need to be seriously modified’ (Chang, 2002: p 549). An example of this would be the state regulating pharmaceuticals they don’t do it for profit they do it for the public good, if they were to deregulate and let inferior products onto the market thus gaining more revenue from Tax rather than setting medical safety standards, would be of interest to the state budget yet a contradiction of the states responsibility.
Moreover even the free market is the interaction of many institutions: organisations of many individuals in areas of economic production which is where Chang criticizes neo-liberalism. The neo-liberal myth of individuals in a barter style economy thus they fail to identify productive organisations as institutions; ‘In this world, even the firm exists only as a production function and not as an “institution of production” ’ (Chang, 2002: p 545).
The idea of an unregulated laisez-fare free market is a myth. The market after all is a conceptualisation of the state and thus cannot be separated from the state. The responsibility of the state is to regulate the chaos that a free market creates and to create parsimony. It is necessary to co-ordinate the free market in order to do this, it is the ‘liberalization’ process that is undermining the ‘coordinated market” (Hall, et al, 2009b: p 15).
The study of institutionalism suggests, all the socio-economic structures are examples of institutions, even the “free market” itself, is an institution in a series of complex interactions with other institutions, state and non-state actors. ‘The capitalist system is made up of a range of institutions, including the markets as institutions of exchange, the firms as institutions of production, and the state as the creator and regulator of the institutions governing their relationships… as well other informal institutions such as social convention’ (Chang , 2002: p 546). This does not mean that free markets are totally downgraded in institutionalism; free markets are intermediate institutions of exchange and communication.
The varieties-of-capitalism approach distinguishes between two main modes of organization. One; ‘firm’s co-ordinate with other actors primarily through competitive markets, characterized by arms-length relations and formal contracting’ (Hall and Gingerich, 2009a: p 452). And In addition to this institutionalists that use rational choice modeling, as neo-liberals often do, combined with the coercive ability and the power of the institutions, for better or worse, forms the environment in which economic transactions takes place. ‘Firms co-ordinate with other actors through processes of strategic interaction of the kind typically modeled by game theory here, equilibrium outcomes depend on the institutional support available for the formation of credible commitments’(Hall, et al, 2009a: p 452), they do this in attempt to more effectively share information, monitor and sanction, actors actions and, to support more effective deliberations.
Apart from state institutions in neo-liberalism, all institutions are seen as negative in other streams of thought such as postmodernism. Crane & Amawi in describing Foucault’s work stress the need of individuals and smaller groupings of individuals to counter institutions, ‘the cultivation and enhancement of localized resistance to the institutions, techniques, and discourses of organization’ (Crane and Amawi 1997: p 303).
In this way there is a dialectical exchange between the institution as the family and the greater societal and cultural institutions like state institutions, companies, unions etc that make up the rules or norms of everyday life and necessary social functions. Therefore, there is no way to avoid the affects of institutions, but, are they good or bad for us or are they just a pest that can’t be effectively exterminated as neo liberal and many postmodernist would wish, however, their emphasis on the individual is unrealistic.
Varieties matter:

The responsibility of the state as an institution
What is important to understand is that you can’t create or make institutions; organisations, corporations, rules regulations and generally the way of doing things become institutionalized over time. Consequently different societies have different ways of solving problems and hence different intuitive institutional behavior.
Because of the heterogeneous nature of societies it becomes impossible to model accurately this is the failing of rational institutionalism as it relies on game theoretical theory and on the ‘Nash equilibrium’(Hall, et al, 1996: p 940) as it fundamental interpretive tool for understanding and interpreting institutional behavior, which is too rigid a system for accurate analysis. This also highlights the reason why different institutions are needed, because of the heterogeneous nature of the GPE. Furthermore, as Polanyi (1994, Cited; Hodgson, 1996: p 403)‘would argue all markets are themselves socially and culturally embedded’.
Because of the uniqueness of each nations or societies requirements and because of the competitive necessity that is inherent in all forms of capitalism ‘Nation-states are required to redefine which social rights are truly fundamental and to strengthen the collective bases of their competitiveness’ (Aglietta 1998: p 64) in the GPE. It is the duty of the state to represent the best interests of the nation in the global market. When discussing capitalism we must refer to varieties of economic systems; what’s more economic systems are in themselves a ‘trans-historical concept’ (Hodgson, 1996: p 40) thus are institutionalized rational that influence behaviour.
The job of institutions is to regulate and mediate between actors in the local, national and GPE however, ‘analysis of any given system cannot and should not be based on universal concepts alone’ (Hodgson, 1996: p 4120). Institutions are incentive systems that encourage honesty and punish cheating. In this way they can have influence on the outcome of policy and enforce behaviour patterns. There exists a hierarchy between powerful and less powerful institutions that is reflected in the interests and behavior of the state as a set of institutions. ‘Structures and superstructures from an ‘historic bloc’, that is to say the complex contradictory and discordant ensemble of the superstructures is the reflection of the ensemble of the social relations of production (Gramsci, 1971: p 336, cited, Cox and Sinclair 1996: chp 2, p 56).
The more powerful the state institutions, the greater the coercive power that the particular state has over institutions in the global political economy. The relative power of individual states is mirrored in their hierarchical position and influence within the global institutions of political economy like the United Nations and the World Trade Organisation. Thus more powerful states can then influence the behavior and the benefits received by less powerful states. Thus the dialectical relationship between the institutions and the state create a synergy within society.
The behavior of more powerful states like the US and global institutions effectively determines and controls the well-being of less powerful states by determining their access technology and trade thus dictating socio-economic growth and social change, especially as these powerful states and institutions work within and impose neo-liberalism as a hegemony to which less powerful states have to adhere to or lose benefits or incur penalties.
Some authors see that even individuals attempting to change global political economy have their attempts ameliorated by the socially formative powers of global institutions maintaining the global status quo and only extracting marginal benefits to dis-empowered or peripheral nations. ‘Individuals from peripheral countries, though they may come to international institutions with the idea of working from within to change the system, are condemned to work within the structures of passive revolution. At best they will help transfer elements of “modernisation” to the peripheries but only as these are consistent with the interests of established local powers’ (Robert Cox, 1996: p 63).
Why neo-intuitionalists say variety matters:
Institutions  essentially help form the beliefs and behavior of individuals,not just as limiters of innate individual nature, ‘Seeing institutions not simply as constraints on the behaviors of the pre-formed and unchanging individuals … but also as shaping individuals themselves’ (Chang 2002: pp 551-552).
As well as shaping the individuals within them, institutions then subsequently shape the nature of politics, its actions, limits and culture are thus crucial to political economy. ‘Politics is an institutionally structured process, not only because institutions shape people’s political action… [and],because they influence people’s perceptions of their own interests, of the legitimate boundary of politics, and of the appropriate standards of behavior in politics’ (Chang, 2002: p 556).
Society is thus the outcome of the nexus of interacting institutions. The more heterogeneous the range of institutions in the global political economy the more heterogeneous the societies, or to contrast this with the more homogenous the institutions in the global political economy the more homogeneous the global political economy is, which is exactly happened with the ascendance of neo-liberalism; which attempts to enforce uniformity in global polices and politics, however, it hasn’t fully succeeded.
The neo-institutionalists claim that institutions matter is correct. The relationship between institutional behaviour in the global political economy can dictate the societal mobility of less developed nations, is a case in point. By changing institutional behavior from the imposition of capitalist free market ideals to a behaviour that engendered more equitable outcomes, fairness and encouraged the dissemination of technologies, a greater degree of social advancement would occur.
Whether institutions form the power structure of GPE is debated amongst many authors but to Marxists like Gramsci they do. ‘Do international relations precede or follow (logically) fundamental social relations? There can be no doubt that they follow. Any organic innovation in the social structure, through its technical military expressions, modifies organically absolute and relative relations in the international field too’ (Gramsci, 1971: p 176, cited, Cox and Sinclair 1996: chp 2, p 58), however this does not mean that they are homogenous in their outlook. In a sense the heterogeneous nature of institutions, characterises and is reflected in, the global political economy; despite the apparent dominance of neo-liberalism. It is for this reason that institutions have ever increasingly important role to play in the mediation of the globalisation process that is currently accelerating at a rapid rate.
In the contemporary climate institutions can be used for good or for ill. Many thinkers in political economy like Michael Hardt (2005) for example, call for more institutions and increased institutional powers in the global political economy. Institutions are good for wielding both soft and hard power although soft power remains the best option he claims. Without institutions the world would certainly be in a lot more chaos than it is currently, there is a call for more institutions on climate change, greater regulation for banking institutions and for health, poverty; the list goes on. Perhaps with all these institutions there should be better representation for the weaker players in the market, however, in the real world thus far this has not really happened yet.
The good that some institutions do is mostly watered down by the damage that the bad ones create. The United States is a case in point, with its democratisation policy and hegemonic behaviour concomitant with its coercive behaviour enforced through institutions is threatening the global power balance. Meanwhile China and India are waiting in wings to claim the prise of global leader for themselves. However, whatever becomes of the future GPE one thing is assured and that is, for good or bad new institutions will be born.

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